XRP has managed to break past the $3 mark in the past 24 hours, and this has given readers a glimpse of bullish momentum. However, this breakout is not yet confirmed, as the XRP price is yet to make a weekly close above this price level.
The cryptocurrency is still trading within a descending channel on the weekly timeframe, and in this context, an interesting technical analysisof crypto outlines a bearish scenario of what could happen if XRP loses its current structure.
There have been different bullish predictions and technical analyses for XRP in recent weeks. However, crypto analyst CoinsKid has raised concerns about what might happen if XRP fails to maintain its position above critical support levels. The analyst shared his outlook on the social media platform X, accompanied by a chart showing the potential downside scenario.
According to CoinsKid, XRP has been going sideways since December of last year, but is finding stability along the bull market support band (BMS). He described the current moment as the last bullish case for XRP, warning that a breakdown through the BMS could erase that bullish outlook entirely.
In his words, “Lose the BMS and the bullish support at $1.90 and XRP could be in free fall.” Despite this, he noted that he still remains cautiously bullish for now, but the caution stems from the visible threat of losing these crucial levels.
The weekly candlestick chart that accompanied his post illustrates the situation clearly. XRP is sitting inside a descending channel, and the last three weekly candlesticks have been red after XRP was rejected at the upper trendline of this channel in September.
The bearish scenario is based on XRP extending this rejection and then falling to as low as the lower trendline of this descending channel, which is currently around $2.2. A break below this line would indicate that selling pressure has overtaken the support structure, likely setting up a deeper retracement.
The next major support level is highlighted at $1.90, which coincides with a bullish support zone dating back to an order block formed in June.
The $2.20 and $1.90 price levels represent the most important zones on the weekly chart. Holding above $2.20 could still allow XRP to maintain its bullish structure in the longer term. Closer short-term support levels are at $2.8 and $2.72, and holding up above these levels will set up XRP for another attempt at breaking above the descending channel.
XRP has managed to hold above $2.8 in the past few days. Particularly, newfound buying pressure has allowed XRP to push past $2.9 and $3.0 in the past 48 hours, reaching an intraday high of $3.10.
Interestingly, CoinsKid’s chart also leaves room for optimism. A bullish projection shows a scenario where XRP breaks through the channel’s upper trendline and rallies above $4. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.05.
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